Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 6.020256 6.636577 7.293929 8.048115 8.890594 9.803975 10.870864
2025-12-07 4.988249 5.833416 6.795957 7.977105 9.392618 11.040825 13.114552
2025-12-14 4.194665 5.149219 6.296924 7.786959 9.682510 12.029584 15.180825
2025-12-21 3.666781 4.690952 5.980862 7.739276 10.096306 13.178118 17.564430
2025-12-28 3.350909 4.446584 5.884773 7.933308 10.812796 14.770762 20.718046
2026-01-04 3.082976 4.225080 5.780066 8.083549 11.463033 16.324536 24.003402
2026-01-11 2.825038 3.983218 5.611994 8.110725 11.920634 17.632434 27.077004
2026-01-18 2.579892 3.730696 5.396558 8.033871 12.197838 18.680297 29.861057
2026-01-25 2.361429 3.493834 5.176667 7.918599 12.389002 19.596090 32.526970
2026-02-01 2.169713 3.278234 4.965822 7.789644 12.533208 20.435300 35.151652
2026-02-08 2.000155 3.081156 4.764047 7.650649 12.637294 21.204753 37.735353
2026-02-15 1.871415 2.937109 4.632359 7.610934 12.898929 22.263712 40.976917
2026-02-22 1.790805 2.866894 4.618529 7.776545 13.550657 24.118182 46.059364
2026-03-01 1.676770 2.732321 4.486314 7.722860 13.800477 25.261826 49.910966
2026-03-08 1.553027 2.571629 4.296212 7.546630 13.801410 25.927453 52.872644
2026-03-15 1.463286 2.462279 4.185737 7.504156 14.049965 27.102607 57.095825
2026-03-22 1.416822 2.424910 4.199005 7.693435 14.771506 29.319496 63.985856
2026-03-29 1.367447 2.378248 4.190965 7.839540 15.419561 31.460026 71.053632
2026-04-05 1.305630 2.304161 4.125956 7.866273 15.820549 33.113840 77.227132
2026-04-12 1.235844 2.210263 4.016252 7.792238 15.997157 34.287430 82.397480
2026-04-19 1.167099 2.113592 3.893970 7.680950 16.079480 35.253101 87.192183
2026-04-26 1.102164 2.019885 3.770651 7.556368 16.118280 36.119623 91.869783
2026-05-03 1.041049 1.929642 3.647817 7.422044 16.120423 36.897114 96.437548